sexta-feira, janeiro 16, 2009

BCE aos papéis.

"Trichet justificou baixa dos juros com a diminuição dos riscos inflacionistas (mais aqui)"
Enquanto o FED descia, o iluminado BCE aumentava as taxas. Agora “os riscos de impossibilidade de cobrança estão em crescendo, pelo que o prémio de risco aumenta diluindo cada vez mais este desespero do BCE. E a desconfiança mútua no mercado do dinheiro entre bancos continua e continuará enquanto os balanços de todos não forem limpos dos designados e papagueados pelos americanos, "toxic assets". Estamos a pagar o longo período do dinheiro fácil de 2005, 2006 e 2007 e a miragem de que se pode viver a crédito eternamente. comprando casas sem poupança, carros sem poupança, viagens sem poupança, etc. etc. O drama é que são aqueles que pouparam que vão pagar a crise e por muitos e longos anos, com taxas de remuneração reais negativas e elevados riscos de colocação (de ver a massa de volta). O risco moral está a funcionar em pleno. Mais uma vez o crime parece compensar. Viva a iliteracia financeira do povo, que lhe permite estar sempre a sonhar e a acreditar nos políticos".

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anónimo said...

Não anda aos papéis.
Quem está dependente dos mercados americanos e não esteve com o Euro está a sofrer e vai sofrer as consequências.
Não estava escrito nas estrelas, era inevitável.
O ano de 2008 foi o ano das descobertas, (para os ignorantes), o ano de 2009 será o das consequências.

Um rato apenas
A seguir artigo do The Guardian, de há pouco, para perceber,quem vai pagar caro os crimes económicos que provocou, vamos ver se o grupo Bildenberg sobrevive, ou se tem de aceitar sócios, fora do clube, Skull and bones, ou do CMJ.

Shares in Barclays and Royal Bank of ­Scotland plummeted as huge losses at two of America's biggest ­financial institutions sparked fresh fears for the future of Britain's banking industry.

In a frantic hour of trading, Barclays lost almost a quarter of its value - marking the second wave of a banking crisis that has already dragged the industry to the edge of collapse. The dramatic fall, which also shook the newly merged Lloyds TSB and HBOS, forced banking chiefs to cancel a planned summit in the City and ­triggered a flurry of emergency meetings in Whitehall.

Alistair Darling, the chancellor, met Adair Turner, the chairman of the FSA, the main financial regulator, while Gordon Brown met Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, to assess the ­damage after a week of devastating news for the banking industry.

Barclays denied it faced financial problems and rushed out a statement to the New York stock exchange before trading closed. The bank, which is due to report its figures next month, said profits before tax for 2008 after all charges and costs should be well above forecasts of £5.3bn. The bank's tier one capital ratio should be 6.5% at the end of the year and the total capital ratio will be 9.1%, putting it in line with many of its peers.

Analysts said Barclays had suffered a severe loss of confidence following speculation that it faces further losses on hundreds of billions of pounds worth of toxic ­investments. Concerns that the main City regulator had added to the bank's woes by lifting a ban on short-selling was dismissed by the government, but were leaped on by opposition MPs as an indication of government incompetence. Some City traders said the dive in Barclays shares had been fuelled by rumours of the bank's imminent nationalisation spread by short- sellers who profit from falling prices.

Vince Cable, the Liberal Democrat treasury spokesman, said it was ­"absolutely extraordinary" that the ban had been lifted. "Another wave of speculative pressure is the very last thing that is needed," he said. But Barclays shares have been falling all week, along with those of the other major banks, as investors come to terms with further bailouts by the US government and a raft of gloomy predictions for the UK economy.

Citigroup, Bank of America and Merrill Lynch revealed losses over three months of $25bn (£17bn) between them yesterday.Citigroup sought extra funds from the US treasury and is being forced to break itself up as the price of its rescue. Bank of America, which bought the largest mortgage lender in the US last year at the height of the sub-prime crisis, also announced large write-downs on its assets, mainly ­sub-prime home loans. The US government has promised $800bn of extra funds after the Senate released the second tranche of a $750bn bailout yesterday.

The scale of the support for the US banking system has shocked even the hardened operators in the City and triggered soul-searching among investors, many of whom have seen the value of their ­holdings sink by 90% since a peak in early 2007. Many investors expect the banks' 2008 results next month will involve multi-million pound write-downs in a wide range of assets caused by the credit crunch. Auditors have already told the government they are reluctant to sign off the accounts of banks and many other companies because of funding worries. Analysts at RBS predicted banks would be unprofitable until 2011.

The Treasury has become aware in recent days of a general loss of confidence in the banks' capacity to escape from with credit crunch. Last night it indicated that plans to bolster the industry would be brought forward, possibly to early next week. A range of options to kick-start lending, including a scheme ring fence $200bn in toxic assets, will be discussed with the big banks at a meeting on Sunday.

sexta-feira, janeiro 16, 2009  

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